Analyzing Yesterday's Tourneyment
I ended up watching the end of the tourneyment yesterday, and between analysis last night and this morning I think i've got some clear conclusions.
First off, I couldn't have blinded my way in to the final table, let alone a top seven finish. Even when I was sitting in 8th when there were three tables left, I needed to more than double up to hit the amount of chips that everyone held walking in to the final table. So I did have to play some hands.
The hand I posted as "Not a Terrible Call" probably wasn't such a bad call. I was getting 2.37-1 pot odds to call, and I had twelve outs - nine remaining hearts for the flush, three sixes for a straight (note its not four sixes, as one of the sixes is already counted as a heart). Mathmatically i needed 2.83-1 to call on the turn with twelve outs, which ultimately makes the call mathmatically incorrect. Had we not shared the ace kicker, I would have had a total of 15 outs which would have given me 2.07-1 pot odds. With the call being only 1/7th of my stack, I think it was the right one to make despite the outcome.
On the "Bad Time to Catch AK suited" hand, I believe I probably should have just called rather than pushed. Had I called the T600 raise (since I was already in the BB) instead of pushing, I likely would have been able to see a flop and see how strong my hand really was. Since I was acting before the original raiser, I could have pushed with a favorible flop (four flush, TPTK, etc). I also would have been able to fold a bad flop, and would have had T4500 left with the blinds sitting 300/600, certainly enough time to wait for another premium hand to double through. Ultimately I might have pushed the flop anyways with a three-flush and two overcards as a bluff.
I don't feel this was a terrible play by any means - but on further review I should have called instead of pushing, being that I was risking my tourneyment on what was likely a coinflip scenario at best (assuming he had a least a pocket pair).
UPDATE: Posted a call for analysis over on Two + Two. Head over there if you want to see what they had to say...
First off, I couldn't have blinded my way in to the final table, let alone a top seven finish. Even when I was sitting in 8th when there were three tables left, I needed to more than double up to hit the amount of chips that everyone held walking in to the final table. So I did have to play some hands.
The hand I posted as "Not a Terrible Call" probably wasn't such a bad call. I was getting 2.37-1 pot odds to call, and I had twelve outs - nine remaining hearts for the flush, three sixes for a straight (note its not four sixes, as one of the sixes is already counted as a heart). Mathmatically i needed 2.83-1 to call on the turn with twelve outs, which ultimately makes the call mathmatically incorrect. Had we not shared the ace kicker, I would have had a total of 15 outs which would have given me 2.07-1 pot odds. With the call being only 1/7th of my stack, I think it was the right one to make despite the outcome.
On the "Bad Time to Catch AK suited" hand, I believe I probably should have just called rather than pushed. Had I called the T600 raise (since I was already in the BB) instead of pushing, I likely would have been able to see a flop and see how strong my hand really was. Since I was acting before the original raiser, I could have pushed with a favorible flop (four flush, TPTK, etc). I also would have been able to fold a bad flop, and would have had T4500 left with the blinds sitting 300/600, certainly enough time to wait for another premium hand to double through. Ultimately I might have pushed the flop anyways with a three-flush and two overcards as a bluff.
I don't feel this was a terrible play by any means - but on further review I should have called instead of pushing, being that I was risking my tourneyment on what was likely a coinflip scenario at best (assuming he had a least a pocket pair).
UPDATE: Posted a call for analysis over on Two + Two. Head over there if you want to see what they had to say...
posted by Performify at 12:19 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home